Trindade vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AME
2 - 1
TRI
49%
23%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 2
APA
76%
15%
9%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 0
TRI
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
JAR
1 - 0
TRI
32%
23%
45%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 0
AME
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
JAR
1 - 0
MOR
28%
22%
50%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ANA
1 - 0
JAR
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
JAT
0 - 0
JAR
57%
20%
23%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
JAR
1 - 0
TRI
32%
23%
45%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 0
JAR
69%
16%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |