Trindade vs Aparecidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
APA
2 - 1
TRI
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 1
TRI
29%
27%
44%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 0
ATL
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 2
TRI
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
TRI
1 - 1
GRE
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
APA
2 - 1
TRI
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
APA
0 - 0
ANA
63%
22%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
GOI
2 - 3
APA
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GOI
1 - 1
APA
76%
17%
7%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
APA
4 - 0
CNO
70%
18%
11%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |