Trigueros vs Aroche CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
62.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trigueros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
RIO
3 - 0
TRI
65%
20%
15%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
VAL
1 - 1
TRI
58%
22%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
TRI
3 - 0
BOL
26%
24%
50%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CDP
3 - 1
TRI
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
TRI
1 - 2
ICR
15%
22%
63%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
ARO
2 - 1
MOG
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
ARO
2 - 0
ALM
25%
24%
51%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
OCF
0 - 1
ARO
58%
22%
20%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
RIO
0 - 0
ARO
47%
24%
29%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
ARO
3 - 0
VAL
64%
20%
16%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |