Triglav Kranj vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
7º
6º
53
2º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
BIL
1 - 1
TRI
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 0
ILI
49%
24%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 1
TRI
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
TRI
2 - 1
BIS
43%
24%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
TRI
6 - 1
TOL
63%
19%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
ILI
0 - 4
GOR
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
1 - 0
BIS
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
KRK
1 - 2
GOR
46%
25%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 0
TOL
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 2
BIL
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |