Liga Eslovena SNL - Play Offs Ascenso Final
Global 4-5
Triglav Kranj vs Domžale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Triglav Kranj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
DOM
1 - 3
TRI
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
ALU
1 - 2
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
TRI
4 - 0
TOL
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
DEK
1 - 6
TRI
19%
25%
56%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
TRI
5 - 0
TOL
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 49 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Domžale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2025 |
DOM
1 - 3
TRI
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
CEL
1 - 1
DOM
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
DOM
2 - 2
BRA
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
DOM
2 - 0
NKN
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
FCK
3 - 0
DOM
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |