Treze vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
13%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AUT
0 - 2
TRE
25%
25%
51%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 1
TRE
86%
11%
4%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 1
ECP
71%
18%
12%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
BOT
15%
22%
63%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 2
SOU
62%
20%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 2
CSP
52%
24%
25%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 1
CSP
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
CSP
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CSP
2 - 2
NAC
66%
20%
15%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
CSP
2 - 1
ECP
61%
21%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |