Treze vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 1
TRE
21%
24%
54%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAM
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 3
TRE
12%
21%
67%
|
56 | 9 | 47 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
TRE
29%
26%
45%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 0
AUT
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
NAC
71%
18%
12%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 1
AUT
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CSP
0 - 3
BOT
39%
25%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 3
CAM
41%
24%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
36%
26%
39%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |