Treviso vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
42.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
SAS
2 - 0
TRE
56%
26%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 1
TRE
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 1
CTT
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
FRO
1 - 0
TRE
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 0
TRE
62%
24%
14%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PAR
0 - 0
MOD
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 0
PAR
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 2
FRO
71%
19%
11%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 0
PAR
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2008 |
ABN
1 - 0
PAR
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |