Treviso vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
CTT
1 - 1
TRE
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 2
FRO
49%
25%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
RIM
2 - 2
TRE
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
TRE
3 - 2
BRE
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 1
TRE
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
MOD
3 - 0
EMP
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SAL
3 - 2
MOD
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 1
RIM
30%
28%
42%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
MOD
3 - 3
PIS
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
ABN
2 - 1
MOD
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |