Treviso vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
TRI
0 - 1
TRE
54%
26%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 1
CES
54%
24%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
TRE
2 - 1
GRO
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 1
TRE
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 0
TRE
68%
22%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2008 |
MOD
2 - 1
ASC
33%
29%
39%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2008 |
FRO
2 - 4
MOD
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
MOD
1 - 2
RAV
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MOD
0 - 3
BRE
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 1
MOD
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |