Treviso vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
PIA
0 - 0
TRE
58%
23%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 2
RIM
34%
29%
38%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 0
TRE
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 0
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 1
TRE
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
MES
2 - 1
BRE
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
FRO
4 - 0
MES
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
MES
1 - 0
MAN
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
CES
1 - 0
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
MES
1 - 2
TRI
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |