Treviso vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
ASS
1 - 1
TRE
34%
31%
35%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
TRE
3 - 0
FCS
80%
14%
6%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CES
2 - 0
TRE
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
TRE
2 - 1
ATL
32%
29%
39%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2000 |
VIC
2 - 0
TRE
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
FER
0 - 3
PES
20%
25%
56%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
BRE
0 - 0
FER
81%
14%
5%
|
51 | 77 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
FER
3 - 2
NAP
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
PIS
1 - 1
FER
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
FER
1 - 1
EMP
20%
25%
56%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |