Treviso vs Borgo a Buggiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
REN
0 - 1
TRE
23%
27%
50%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 1
SAV
71%
19%
11%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
USP
2 - 2
TRE
12%
24%
64%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 0
TRE
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Borgo a Buggiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 1
ACM
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
USA
1 - 4
BOR
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BOR
2 - 1
RIM
16%
23%
61%
|
35 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CUN
1 - 1
BOR
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
PRG
2 - 1
BOR
69%
20%
11%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |