Treviso vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
22.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
BOL
0 - 0
TRE
67%
20%
12%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
TRE
3 - 0
FRO
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
CES
0 - 0
TRE
60%
23%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
ABN
3 - 1
TRE
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
TRE
2 - 3
GEN
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
SPE
3 - 3
PIA
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
RIM
2 - 1
SPE
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 2
LEC
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 1
SPE
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2006 |
SPE
2 - 1
CRO
29%
29%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |