Treviso vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1999 |
CHI
4 - 2
TRE
48%
27%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
TRE
1 - 1
RAV
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
ATL
2 - 2
TRE
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
TRE
3 - 2
REG
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
TOR
0 - 0
TRE
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
BRE
27%
27%
46%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
CES
3 - 0
COS
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
GEN
4 - 1
CES
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1999 |
CES
0 - 0
CHI
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1999 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
48%
27%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |