Trethomas Bluebirds vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.2%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.5%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
88.6%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
13.2%
1-4
5.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.8%
0-4
10.7%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
14.9%
0-5
7%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
9.2%
0-6
3.8%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.8%
0-7
1.8%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.2%
0-8
0.7%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trethomas Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
6 - 0
TON
8%
12%
80%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRE
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CAA
2 - 2
TRE
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
TRE
0 - 6
LLA
10%
16%
74%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | -1 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
HAV
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAR
29%
28%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 1
FLI
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
TAF
1 - 1
HAV
17%
20%
63%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
HAV
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |