Trethomas Bluebirds vs Baglan Dragons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
44.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trethomas Bluebirds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LLA
0 - 1
TRE
72%
17%
12%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CWM
2 - 3
TRE
75%
14%
11%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TNS
7 - 0
TRE
94%
4%
2%
|
24 | 70 | 46 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
6 - 1
PEN
22%
19%
59%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +3 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
4 - 1
ERA
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +5 |
Matches
Baglan Dragons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 0
BDG
34%
22%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 1
SWA
8%
12%
80%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BDG
1 - 2
PON
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
BDG
2 - 2
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
BDG
0 - 0
LLA
27%
21%
52%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +1 |