Super Copa Gaúcha Last 16
Global 3-3
Tres Passos AC vs Grêmio B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
54.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tres Passos AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
IPA
2 - 0
ACP
76%
16%
9%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ACP
0 - 1
NOV
41%
23%
37%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2017 |
ACP
1 - 2
YPI
13%
21%
66%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
YPI
2 - 1
ACP
76%
17%
7%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
NOV
0 - 2
ACP
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
PEL
3 - 2
GRE
54%
24%
23%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
GEB
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
GEB
0 - 1
GRE
35%
23%
43%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 0
GRE
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
GUA
57%
20%
23%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |