Trento vs Union Quinto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
TRE
0 - 0
TAM
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
TRE
0 - 0
GOR
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
TRE
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TRE
3 - 1
VIR
31%
25%
44%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ACS
2 - 2
TRE
33%
26%
41%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Union Quinto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNI
29%
25%
46%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
MON
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CON
0 - 1
UNI
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 1
SSE
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
DMG
0 - 1
UNI
41%
25%
34%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |