Trento vs Montebelluna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
JES
2 - 2
TRE
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
TRE
1 - 1
CON
66%
20%
15%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
TRE
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
TRE
1 - 2
SSE
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
DMG
0 - 0
TRE
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Montebelluna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
MON
2 - 2
TAM
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ACS
0 - 0
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
MON
1 - 0
JES
24%
25%
51%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MON
0 - 1
CON
60%
21%
19%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
43%
25%
32%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |