Trento vs Concordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 0
TRE
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
TRE
1 - 2
SSE
40%
25%
35%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
DMG
0 - 0
TRE
47%
24%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 1
SAC
41%
25%
34%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ACS
1 - 1
TRE
51%
23%
26%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Concordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CON
1 - 4
TAM
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
MON
0 - 1
CON
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
CON
2 - 2
JES
19%
24%
58%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ACS
0 - 2
CON
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
CON
1 - 0
SAN
31%
25%
44%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |