Trento vs Caronnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
OLG
1 - 0
TRE
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 3
PRO
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
TRE
5 - 1
GCS
51%
24%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
COL
1 - 1
TRE
67%
20%
13%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 1
VOG
18%
21%
61%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAP
0 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 2
STE
39%
25%
36%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
PER
2 - 2
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |