Trento vs AC Mezzocorona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SER
1 - 1
TRE
70%
18%
12%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAP
3 - 0
TRE
70%
18%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 2
CAR
23%
24%
53%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
OLG
1 - 0
TRE
77%
15%
9%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 3
PRO
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
AC Mezzocorona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ACM
0 - 1
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 2
ACM
52%
25%
23%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
ACM
3 - 2
MAP
32%
25%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 0
ACM
60%
23%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
ACM
0 - 2
OLG
26%
26%
49%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |