Trento vs FC Bolzano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
TRE
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
TRE
0 - 1
UNI
42%
25%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
TRE
0 - 0
TAM
47%
24%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
TRE
0 - 0
GOR
63%
21%
17%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SAN
0 - 0
TRE
58%
22%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Bolzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
FCB
1 - 2
SAN
17%
22%
61%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MON
1 - 2
FCB
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
DMG
1 - 0
FCB
78%
15%
7%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
FCB
0 - 0
CON
20%
24%
57%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SSE
2 - 1
FCB
81%
14%
6%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | -1 |