UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 3-4
Trenčín vs FCSB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
18.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trenčín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
TRE
6 - 1
SIG
67%
18%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2015 |
DUK
2 - 1
TRE
39%
25%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2015 |
BOH
0 - 3
TRE
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2015 |
MBO
2 - 0
TRE
53%
23%
24%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
ZMO
1 - 3
TRE
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FCSB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
STB
0 - 0
PET
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2015 |
STB
0 - 1
TAR
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2015 |
STB
2 - 1
FCR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
STB
1 - 1
WAR
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2015 |
STB
4 - 5
SKA
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |