Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 5-1
Trenčín vs Górnik Zabrze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
20.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trenčín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 4
RUZ
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
GÓR
0 - 1
TRE
38%
24%
38%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
NIT
2 - 1
TRE
21%
23%
56%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 1
BUD
82%
12%
6%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
BUD
0 - 2
TRE
18%
20%
63%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
GÓR
1 - 1
PLO
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
GÓR
0 - 1
TRE
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
GÓR
1 - 1
KOR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
ZAR
1 - 1
GÓR
21%
22%
57%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2018 |
GÓR
1 - 0
ZAR
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |