Trem DC vs São Paulo AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trem DC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2007 |
CRI
1 - 1
TDC
37%
24%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 6
TDC
32%
23%
45%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2007 |
TDC
2 - 1
SAO
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2007 |
AMA
1 - 0
TDC
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
SPM
0 - 3
TDC
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
SPM
0 - 1
SAO
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
CRI
2 - 1
SPM
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SPM
1 - 2
AMA
23%
23%
55%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SAN
2 - 3
SPM
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
SPM
0 - 3
TDC
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | -1 |