Trelissac vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
51.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trelissac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
TRE
1 - 0
USR
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
BAL
0 - 0
TRE
56%
24%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SAG
1 - 0
TRE
39%
27%
34%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BER
3 - 2
TRE
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
TRE
2 - 1
SAM
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
QUE
1 - 1
LEH
61%
23%
17%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
MET
2 - 2
QUE
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
QUE
5 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
QUE
1 - 1
LIL
67%
20%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
COM
0 - 2
QUE
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |