Treibach vs UFC Maria Alm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
21.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
WAC
0 - 3
TRE
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
TRE
5 - 0
MIC
61%
21%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2010 |
SPI
1 - 1
TRE
52%
23%
25%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
TRE
0 - 2
FEL
26%
23%
50%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
SVV
3 - 1
TRE
50%
24%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UFC Maria Alm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2010 |
UMA
3 - 1
BLE
27%
24%
50%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
UMA
0 - 0
WAC
38%
25%
36%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
MIC
1 - 0
UMA
36%
26%
39%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
UMA
3 - 0
SPI
39%
24%
37%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2010 |
FEL
1 - 1
UMA
79%
14%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | 0 |