Treibach vs Kraig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.4%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.2%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.8%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
8%
3.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
3º
1º
30
3º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
80% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
80% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
ATV
0 - 0
TRE
11%
15%
74%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
LEN
77%
14%
10%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
KAC
2 - 2
TRE
13%
17%
70%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
4 - 1
VOL
71%
16%
14%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
KMD
2 - 5
TRE
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kraig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SVK
1 - 3
SPI
24%
22%
55%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
KLA
3 - 3
SVK
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SVK
0 - 4
BLE
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
DON
3 - 1
SVK
12%
17%
72%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SVK
2 - 3
SCL
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |