Treibach vs Sittersdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.6%
10%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
WEL
0 - 2
TRE
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
TRE
2 - 0
WOL
60%
21%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SVP
1 - 1
TRE
15%
22%
63%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 1
RAP
63%
21%
17%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
VOL
1 - 3
TRE
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sittersdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 2
UMA
47%
25%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
WAC
6 - 1
SAS
70%
18%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 2
MIC
41%
25%
34%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
SPI
4 - 1
SAS
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SAS
0 - 3
FEL
13%
19%
69%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |