Treibach vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
FLC
5 - 0
TRE
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
WOL
3 - 0
TRE
61%
21%
18%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
TRE
2 - 0
MIC
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GLO
3 - 3
TRE
18%
19%
63%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2016 |
TRE
3 - 0
SPI
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
RAP
2 - 0
MIC
66%
21%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
GLO
2 - 3
RAP
44%
23%
33%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 0
SPI
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
LEN
3 - 2
RAP
47%
24%
29%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
RAP
0 - 1
KUH
50%
22%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |