Treibach vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
WOL
2 - 1
TRE
53%
23%
24%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 0
LEN
44%
24%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
STE
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
DRA
1 - 3
TRE
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2013 |
TRE
1 - 1
VEI
26%
24%
51%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
RAP
1 - 3
WEL
62%
21%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
RAP
3 - 1
DRA
33%
25%
43%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
KMD
2 - 2
RAP
60%
22%
19%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
RUD
1 - 1
RAP
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
RAP
3 - 1
WOL
21%
24%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +2 |