Treibach vs Rapid Lienz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
VOL
1 - 3
TRE
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 0
LEN
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 1
BLE
54%
22%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SAS
1 - 0
TRE
29%
25%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
TRE
3 - 1
LEN
43%
25%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Rapid Lienz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2009 |
RAP
1 - 0
UMA
61%
21%
18%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
WAC
4 - 2
RAP
62%
21%
18%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
RAP
3 - 1
MIC
44%
25%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
RAP
6 - 2
GRI
61%
21%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
FLC
1 - 3
RAP
54%
23%
23%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |