Treibach vs SV Ried II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
41.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
5º
14º
14º
47
1º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
KAL
1 - 1
TRE
30%
22%
48%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
ALL
0 - 1
TRE
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 3
GUR
17%
23%
60%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LBN
6 - 0
TRE
63%
19%
18%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 4
TBG
32%
21%
47%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
SV Ried II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
NEU
2 - 0
ALL
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
GUR
1 - 0
NEU
68%
20%
13%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NEU
0 - 3
LBN
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
TBG
3 - 2
NEU
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NEU
3 - 1
HER
14%
21%
65%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +4 |