Treibach vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
51.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
TRE
1 - 2
WOL
27%
25%
49%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
MIC
0 - 1
TRE
33%
22%
45%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
TRE
2 - 3
GLO
85%
11%
5%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
SPI
0 - 0
TRE
48%
23%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
TRE
4 - 3
LEN
57%
22%
22%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FLC
4 - 1
MIC
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
GLO
0 - 4
FLC
10%
16%
74%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
FLC
4 - 3
SPI
67%
18%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 5
FLC
25%
23%
52%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
FLC
4 - 1
KUH
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |