Treibach vs Ferlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Treibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
MIC
1 - 0
TRE
24%
24%
51%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SCL
0 - 0
TRE
16%
22%
63%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
TRE
3 - 1
FCW
85%
11%
4%
|
20 | 9 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SVV
4 - 1
TRE
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 2
SCL
29%
25%
46%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ferlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
FLC
1 - 0
SCL
81%
13%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
FCW
1 - 0
FLC
11%
20%
69%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
FLC
1 - 2
SVV
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SCL
1 - 0
FLC
68%
18%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
FLC
5 - 0
WOL
50%
24%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |