Trefelin vs Ynyshir Albions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
14º
14º
24
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
TRE
70%
17%
12%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SUF
2 - 4
TRE
44%
21%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 5
CAM
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 5
TAF
28%
22%
51%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
TAF
4 - 2
TRE
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ynyshir Albions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LLA
1 - 0
YAF
64%
18%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
YAF
0 - 1
ABE
43%
22%
36%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
YAF
0 - 2
PON
47%
22%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
2 - 2
YAF
58%
19%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BRI
2 - 0
YAF
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |