Trefelin vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 1
TRE
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
AAF
1 - 2
TRE
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
TRE
1 - 2
PEN
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
CAM
1 - 3
TRE
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
TRE
3 - 2
GOY
69%
18%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
TAF
1 - 3
PON
11%
20%
70%
|
29 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
BDG
1 - 1
TAF
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
TAF
0 - 1
NWC
32%
22%
47%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
CAE
3 - 1
TAF
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
TAF
3 - 7
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -2 |