Trefelin vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
37.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-43%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
14º
14º
33
2º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
TRE
35%
21%
44%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 2
BAR
13%
20%
67%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 3
ABE
68%
17%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
GOY
3 - 2
TRE
43%
21%
36%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
2 - 0
TRE
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
TAF
0 - 1
BAR
12%
20%
68%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 0
TAF
31%
21%
48%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GOY
2 - 2
TAF
43%
22%
36%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TAF
0 - 2
GOY
59%
20%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
TAF
3 - 1
YAF
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |