Trefelin vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
16.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AAF
0 - 6
TRE
28%
21%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
TRE
2 - 2
LLA
62%
19%
20%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
TRE
1 - 2
SUF
38%
24%
38%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
TRE
0 - 1
GOY
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
1 - 3
TRE
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
TAF
88%
10%
3%
|
28 | 74 | 46 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
TAF
0 - 3
CAM
16%
19%
65%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CWU
1 - 0
TAF
25%
20%
55%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 1
TAF
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
LID
2 - 1
TAF
63%
18%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |