Trefelin vs Swansea University analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
21.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
TAF
1 - 1
TRE
22%
23%
56%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
TRE
4 - 1
CAM
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 4
CON
6%
11%
83%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BAR
3 - 0
TRE
80%
13%
8%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TRE
3 - 4
CWM
79%
13%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Swansea University
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SUF
1 - 2
GUI
21%
20%
60%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SUF
2 - 2
LLA
58%
21%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SUF
1 - 0
BAN
23%
20%
57%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
RIS
4 - 0
SUF
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -3 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SUF
3 - 4
PON
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |