Trefelin vs Risca United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.1%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.9%
6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
8 - 1
FAI
81%
12%
7%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
3 - 3
TRE
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 0
RIS
70%
17%
14%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 2
PON
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
TRE
4 - 1
UND
75%
14%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LLA
4 - 0
RIS
64%
19%
18%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
PON
2 - 1
RIS
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 0
RIS
70%
17%
14%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
RIS
1 - 1
LLA
16%
17%
68%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
RIS
2 - 3
LID
30%
20%
50%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |