Trefelin vs Risca United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
14%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 2
PON
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
TRE
4 - 1
UND
75%
14%
10%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
POR
0 - 4
TRE
27%
21%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 0
TAF
66%
17%
16%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AAF
0 - 6
TRE
28%
21%
51%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Risca United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
RIS
1 - 1
LLA
16%
17%
68%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
RIS
2 - 3
LID
30%
20%
50%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
LLA
3 - 3
RIS
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
RIS
5 - 2
LID
17%
17%
66%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +4 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MON
4 - 2
RIS
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |