Trefelin vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
65.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
CAE
25%
22%
53%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
TRE
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 2
HAV
10%
18%
72%
|
36 | 65 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 0
TRE
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
CWM
4 - 1
TRE
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 1
PON
22%
21%
57%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
PON
3 - 2
LID
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
PON
0 - 2
NEW
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
PON
0 - 5
PEN
25%
24%
51%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
3 - 0
PON
41%
26%
33%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |