Trefelin vs Cwmbran Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
8.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
BRI
3 - 1
TRE
49%
23%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 3
TRE
49%
21%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
2 - 5
LLA
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 2
TRE
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
TRE
4 - 0
RIS
83%
11%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Cwmbran Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CWM
1 - 1
CAR
14%
21%
65%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
AAF
2 - 3
CWM
68%
17%
16%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
PON
3 - 0
CWM
81%
12%
7%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
BRI
6 - 0
CWM
80%
13%
8%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
CWM
50%
21%
30%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |