Trefelin vs Cambrian United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
68%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 4
LLA
13%
15%
72%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 3
CAR
19%
19%
62%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CWM
1 - 1
TRE
71%
15%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
TRE
45%
21%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 2
GOY
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cambrian United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 2
CAR
9%
16%
75%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 0
CAM
12%
16%
73%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
TAF
1 - 2
CAM
25%
24%
52%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
CAM
3 - 1
LID
34%
23%
43%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
CAM
18%
18%
64%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |