Trefelin vs Briton Ferry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
74.6%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
13%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
2 - 2
GOY
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ABB
2 - 5
TRE
27%
21%
52%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PON
0 - 1
TRE
51%
21%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAR
23%
24%
54%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 1
TRE
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Briton Ferry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
1 - 0
TAF
82%
12%
6%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CWM
2 - 4
BRI
17%
20%
63%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 1
LID
74%
16%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BRI
2 - 1
ABB
79%
13%
8%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 2
BRI
13%
18%
69%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |