Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
46.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trefelin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 2
TRE
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 2
TRE
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 2
CWM
25%
19%
56%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
GOY
1 - 3
TRE
50%
20%
30%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 3
LLA
19%
19%
62%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Ammanford AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 2
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
AAF
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 1
GOY
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 1
BRI
13%
18%
70%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
AAF
0 - 0
TAF
52%
22%
27%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |