Tre Fiori vs AC Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tre Fiori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
TFI
1 - 1
LIB
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LIB
2 - 1
TFI
28%
27%
46%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TFI
0 - 2
COS
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
TFI
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
TFI
4 - 1
JUV
78%
16%
7%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
TPE
0 - 2
VIR
56%
22%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIR
3 - 1
TPE
19%
21%
60%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
LIB
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 1
VIR
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
VIR
0 - 0
FIO
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |